2018 Government Shutdown Report: Most & Least Affected States
As the clock struck midnight on the 45th president’s first year in office, the United States government shut down for the 19th time in history. And right on cue, both sides of the political aisle began attempting to assign blame and assume the moral high ground with the aid of hashtags and tales of children at risk. But this isn’t just another soap opera from the swamp, for the swamp. History and hard data tell us the gears of government grinding to a halt will have nationwide consequences, hurting red states and blue states alike.
To determine whose homes a government shutdown strikes closest to, WalletHub compared the 50 states and the District of Columbia across six key metrics. They range from each state’s share of federal jobs and contracts to the percentage of kids covered by the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP). You can check out the findings below, followed by the complete methodology used.
Most & Least Affected States
|1||District of Columbia||70.42||27||Pennsylvania||30.53|
|6||New Mexico||48.87||32||New Jersey||27.38|
|14||West Virginia||38.22||40||New Hampshire||25.13|
States depend on the federal government for a great deal, from employment to key benefits. To measure the relative impact of the January 2018 government shutdown on each state, as well as the District of Columbia, WalletHub identified six basic metrics that speak to how people across the country will be affected by the absence of government services.
Finally, we analyzed publicly available data from official sources to score the shutdown’s impact by state, according to the following rubric. Each metric was scored on a 100-point scale, with 100 representing the biggest impact from the government shutdown. We then calculated a weighted average of all the metrics, using this overall score to construct our final ranking.
- Share of Federal Jobs: Full Weight (~25.00 Points)
Note: This metric measures the federal employment as a share of total employment.
- Federal Contract Dollars Per Capita: Full Weight (~25.00 Points)
- % of Children under CHIP (Children's Health Insurance Program): Full Weight (~25.00 Points)
- Small Business Lending: Half Weight (~12.50 Points)
Note: This metric measures both the average SBA 7a loan size and the % of small businesses that get SBA 7a loans.
- Real Estate as Percentage of Gross State Product: Quarter Weight (~6.25 Points)
Note: Gross State Product is the equivalent of GDP but at the state level. Mortgage processing will be affected by staffing shortages in the IRS, FHA and VA.
- Access to National Parks: Quarter Weight (~6.25 Points)
Note: This metric measures both the number of national parks per capita and the acres of national parks per capita.
Sources: Data used to create this ranking were obtained from the U.S. Census Bureau, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, usaspending.gov, Fit Small Business, National Association of Realtors, National Park Service and Kaiser Family Foundation.
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